Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.205436 0.237732 0.273419 0.315778 0.364690 0.419408 0.485286
2025-09-21 0.151294 0.193701 0.245423 0.313151 0.399544 0.506136 0.647795
2025-09-28 0.124118 0.170484 0.231050 0.315967 0.432048 0.585357 0.803594
2025-10-05 0.110097 0.160152 0.229299 0.331804 0.480061 0.687035 0.998647
2025-10-12 0.098182 0.150096 0.225371 0.342480 0.520345 0.780872 1.192620
2025-10-19 0.088222 0.141003 0.220922 0.350751 0.556747 0.871722 1.391622
2025-10-26 0.078976 0.131459 0.214134 0.353848 0.584560 0.951437 1.581514
2025-11-02 0.069853 0.120732 0.203872 0.349609 0.599334 1.011135 1.744837
2025-11-09 0.060878 0.108994 0.190363 0.337963 0.599793 1.046480 1.870195
2025-11-16 0.056383 0.104352 0.188138 0.345108 0.632789 1.139544 2.104810
2025-11-23 0.051690 0.098729 0.183449 0.347106 0.656474 1.218238 2.321712
2025-11-30 0.048002 0.094481 0.180671 0.352101 0.685859 1.309701 2.571561
2025-12-07 0.043058 0.087338 0.171888 0.345048 0.692281 1.360385 2.752042
2025-12-14 0.039174 0.081823 0.165614 0.342179 0.706581 1.427789 2.973657
2025-12-21 0.036383 0.078166 0.162534 0.345256 0.732942 1.521332 3.258317
2025-12-28 0.035275 0.077871 0.166182 0.362559 0.790469 1.683687 3.704463
2026-01-04 0.033704 0.076384 0.167155 0.374224 0.837214 1.828384 4.128965
2026-01-11 0.032029 0.074459 0.166959 0.383260 0.879125 1.966977 4.555456
2026-01-18 0.030047 0.071599 0.164387 0.386643 0.908673 2.081471 4.940206
2026-01-25 0.027659 0.067515 0.158620 0.382012 0.919242 2.154428 5.236746
2026-02-01 0.024956 0.062364 0.149841 0.369288 0.909317 2.179239 5.421587
2026-02-08 0.023830 0.060925 0.149613 0.377094 0.949566 2.325614 5.918013
2026-02-15 0.022448 0.058685 0.147218 0.379278 0.976180 2.441996 6.352853